Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.491261 1.826992 2.253227 2.847619 3.678150 4.835512 6.645394
2025-01-26 1.117218 1.524115 2.129673 3.155746 4.994156 8.515624 17.076087
2025-02-02 0.897225 1.312414 2.000413 3.346040 6.303621 13.979690 45.835366
2025-02-09 0.735436 1.126242 1.822714 3.333184 7.231419 20.537787 125.300790
2025-02-16 0.613953 0.970424 1.639120 3.203979 7.787766 27.765492 379.099065
2025-02-23 0.544701 0.888396 1.567339 3.288079 9.094467 43.645086 3784.769871
2025-03-02 0.497673 0.836018 1.538343 3.465528 11.029122 77.669134 NaN
2025-03-09 0.449920 0.772235 1.466261 3.490087 12.476642 128.826613 NaN
2025-03-16 0.401113 0.697830 1.351774 3.335686 12.920661 181.987308 NaN
2025-03-23 0.376534 0.669066 1.337949 3.501685 15.580448 426.966676 NaN
2025-03-30 0.349532 0.630795 1.291715 3.536966 17.630517 1008.963784 NaN
2025-04-06 0.320629 0.584376 1.215095 3.427535 18.478735 2090.556086 NaN
2025-04-13 0.296143 0.545343 1.152360 3.355833 19.749364 6557.599628 NaN
2025-04-20 0.287709 0.541229 1.183004 3.690141 26.601455 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.276071 0.528047 1.185620 3.913148 33.872192 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.259350 0.500732 1.141635 3.894242 37.801143 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.241144 0.467884 1.075448 3.734097 38.652726 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.230704 0.452716 1.060280 3.837675 46.551459 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.223393 0.444338 1.064565 4.057184 60.970337 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.213108 0.427382 1.038339 4.087631 71.081022 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.199953 0.401946 0.980475 3.896438 70.827085 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.194404 0.395383 0.984018 4.102018 94.676523 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.186734 0.382575 0.964305 4.145814 113.236941 NaN NaN